Although polls show that a majority of voters are dissatisfied with the current presidential election, President Biden’s relationship with former PresidenttrumpThe rematch appears to be a foregone conclusion. Experts say it could lead to more voters deciding not to vote next Novembervote,
The Hill reported that William Howell, a professor of American politics at the University of Chicago, said that for most people the question is no longer whether to vote for Trump or Biden, but rather “should I vote?”
Recent presidential elections have seen an increase in voter turnout, according to data from the University of California, Santa Barbara. Since 2004, turnout has been about 60% of the voting population. Voter turnout in the 2020 Trump-Biden election was up 2/3, the highest turnout in more than a century.
In 2024, polls show that most voters do not want to choose between Trump and Biden again, and about half of voters expect other candidates to join them.
Karl Rove, who is in charge of Republican election strategy, said a decline in turnout in 2024 is certain to occur, disrupting the recent trend of rising turnout.
Republican strategist Charlie Collin said the low turnout could be an advantage for Trump because more people voted against Trump than Biden in 2020.
He said that it is necessary to excite the voters to increase the voting percentage. Presidential candidates are the main way to generate voter enthusiasm. This concerns ballot measures, which are key to motivating swing voters to come out and vote.
Ballot measures have gained more attention over the past year and a half, with some states putting them at the ballot box after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade.abortionPolicy.
Voters in seven states supported abortion rights in the poll, seen as a continued victory for Democrats, which also occurred in Republican-leaning Ohio. Many states, including swing states such as Arizona and Nevada, have made abortion a significant issue. Colin believes that this issue will have a significant impact in some states.
Democratic strategist Jared Leopold pointed out that in every state that has voted on abortion, there has been an overwhelming turnout and that the presidential election is like a referendum on the issue of abortion.