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Putin’s summit ends, Beijing’s attitude will affect the direction of cooperation between China, Russia and North Korea

North KoreaLeader Kim Jong-un’s visit to Russia has just concluded. His journey has come to an end after more than 4 yearsRussiachairmanPutinThe negotiations have attracted attention and speculation from the outside world. Experts point out that the attitude of Beijing officials will become an important key in determining the direction of China-Russia-North Korea cooperation and the “conditions of the new Cold War.”

Kim Jong-un and Vladimir Putin held talks at Russia’s Vostochny Cosmodrome on the 13th. After the meeting, no joint statement and other results of the talks were made public, but Kim Jong-un indicated providing support for the Russian–Ukrainian war, and Putin expressed that he could assist. North Korea’s comments, such as the development of artificial satellites, have led to speculation that Russia and North Korea are likely to engage in further military and economic cooperation.

However, experts still have differing opinions on the actual depth of cooperation and the impact of the strengthening of Russia-North Korea relations on the China-Russia-North Korea camp. Some opinions believe that the strengthening of relations between North Korea and Russia would set up a “new Cold War situation” between China, Russia, and North Korea against the United States, Japan, and South Korea. Yang Mo-jin, a professor at the North Korea Graduate School, pointed out that although talks between Kim Jong-un and Putin could lead to political, diplomatic and military pressure from the United States, Japan and South Korea, the expected impact is not significant.

Some analysts believe that Beijing officials are not happy to see cooperation between Russia and North Korea strengthening, and are also skeptical of how Russia might cooperate with North Korea in the future. Professor Pyo Na-ri of South Korea’s National Academy of Foreign Affairs analyzed that Russia needs weapons, but whether Russia will really hand over the necessary cutting-edge military technology to North Korea so easily is still a question mark; He also believes that China is not happy to see Kim Jong-un and Putin. After the pavilion talks, it will take a long time to expand the cooperative relations between Russia and North Korea to trilateral cooperation between China, Russia and North Korea.

Kang Junyoung, a professor at the School of International Studies at Korea University of Foreign Studies, said both Russia and North Korea decided to cooperate after being condemned and sanctioned by the international community. China has no reason to choose to join, and will avoid ceding control to the United States, while maintaining room for cooperation with the United States; Rather than engage in military cooperation, China, Russia, and North Korea are more likely to pursue cross-border economic cooperation.

While the United States, Japan, and South Korea are highly cautious about talks between the leaders of Russia and North Korea, and have repeatedly warned that military cooperation between Russia and North Korea would violate UN Security Council resolutions, international concerns such as China Will seriously violate the norms. As the largest trading partner and political ally of Russia and North Korea, currently concerned about Putin’s meeting, they have not made any clear statements yet, but they have continued to hold bilateral summits with the United States and Russia. The conference has begun to be arranged, which is likely to lead to further changes in the world situation.

After a 12-hour meeting between Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and White House national security adviser Sullivan, he flew to Moscow without stopping to meet with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov. For this purpose, he also determined the basic UN General Assembly itinerary In addition to the talks, on the agenda of the Russian summit, Wang Yi and Lavrov will discuss issues such as cooperation at the highest level, strengthening international cooperation, and the Russia-Ukraine war. .

The Kremlin has previously said Putin plans to contact Chinese President Xi Jinping within this year, and outsiders estimate Putin will be most likely to hold talks with Xi Jinping when he attends the Belt and Road Forum in October. More likely. There are also opinions that Kim Jong-un may also participate in this forum, or may visit before the end of the year. If Kim Jong-un joins the forum, it could lead to trilateral talks.

In order to moderate cooperative relations between China, Russia, and North Korea, the United States may try to change the conflict situation with China. While Russia has been actively promoting the President-Xi meeting, the lengthy talks between Wang Yi and Sullivan have also fueled it. The outside world’s expectations from Xi Jinping’s Asia-Pacific economic cooperation in November. Expectations of bilateral talks with President Biden at the APEC summit. Scholars hope that China can use this opportunity to express its relevant position to the international community.

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