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New Study: New York’s New Bail Law Re-Arrested 50% of Offenders

ExistenceNew York CityFelony suspects are more likely to be re-arrested in New York since controversial bail reforms took effect, according to new research from the John Jay College of Criminal Justice Data Collaborative. And this number almost reached 50%. However, data including both minor and serious crimes show that crime rates have fallen.

Figures show that in the two years after the reform was implemented, between January 1, 2020 and the end of 2022, 47% of people arrested on felony charges were re-arrested, up from 44.6% before the reform ; The number of offenders re-arrested on violent felony charges also increased 3.3 percentage points to 17.3% from 14% previously; The number of people who had a gun for a felony also increased, from 2.8% to 3.6%.

Researchers examined more than 15,000 criminal cases after the reforms and compared them to similar cases in 2019 – when both felonies and misdemeanors are taken into account, the study found The crime rate has declined along with the arrest rate. Cases fell from 50 percent before reforms to 43.8 percent in two years.

“Removing bail for most misdemeanors and non-violent felonies would reduce crime. But we did not see a difference in violent felony and re-arrest data for gun offenders,” said study co-author and researcher Rene Ropack. reduce. ,

The study’s other author, Michael Rempel, said the report was not intended to respond to a political controversy, but rather a scientific analysis of the data — that the study’s findings and the discussion of high recidivism are not necessarily contradictory. “We’re not looking at the overall re-arrest rate, but overall, this category of peoplePoliceBureau regular. ,

Other findings include that during and before bail reform, defendants with prior criminal convictions or pending cases were highly likely to be re-arrested – 61.7 percent of defendants with criminal histories were re-arrested since bail reform became law. By comparison, 26.1 percent had no criminal record; Before the reforms, 62.5 percent of career offenders were arrested again, compared to 37.7 percent of those with no criminal records.

The same was true for suspects with pending cases—68.8 percent were arrested on new charges after the reforms, compared to 39.4 percent for suspects without convictions; Before the reforms, the figures were 62.8 per cent and 47.7% respectively.

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