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Exclusive Content:

Accurate prediction of 2020 general election survey: 18 demographic groups Biden’s electoral position is not good

Newsweek reported on the 12th that the person who once accurately predicted the results of the 2020 presidential electionvoteThe latest report released by the agency states that,bidenThe President’s current election situation is worse than November 2023 and the path to re-election is full of difficulties.

The “Presidential Leadership Index” analysis report jointly launched by “Investors Business Daily (IBD)” and research agency TIPP Insights pointed out that in November 2023, the poll assessment of Biden’s ranking among the five demographic groups raised concerns Granted, and now it has expanded. To include 18 population groups. The election predictions are very pessimistic.

Apart from the lackluster performance in governance satisfaction, several surveys have revealed whetherDemocratic PartyVoters or Republican voters generally believe that 81-year-old Biden is too old and unfit to continue governing.

The “Presidential Leadership Index” measures voters’ opinions of candidates in three key areas, including likability, governance performance, and leadership potential, and compares changes in candidates’ ratings over a three-month period.

In the latest “Presidential Leadership Index” report, Biden’s scores showed a “significant” negative trend across 18 demographic groups, including white men, white women, independent voters, centrist voters and young adults ages 18 to 24. The 18 population groups also include conservative voters and Republican voters, but both of these groups are fundamentally less likely to vote for Biden.

There are “substantially” negative trends in Biden’s ratings across nine demographic groups, such as suburban voters, rural voters, college-educated voters or voters with a college degree or above, African-American voters and Hispanic voters.

The TIPP Insights Editorial Board said: “Our trend analysis shows that support for Biden among the American public has declined significantly over the past three months. Facing American voters across diverse demographic groups, Biden faces an uphill battle. Have to fight.”

The editorial board also said: “If Biden wins the Democratic nomination and becomes the candidate, the advantage of being the current president will not be a plus, and the chances of remaining in charge of the White House are slim.”

In November 2020, the Washington Post ranked the IBD/TIPP pre-election poll as the most accurate report predicting the presidential election. At that time, the IBD/TIPP popular vote would put Trump winning by 4%. Election results showed that Biden received 51.3% of the popular vote and Trump received 46.9%.

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